MIAMI, Florida – NOAA‘s National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, issued a Tropical Weather Outlook update at 8 a.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Thursday, October 31, 2024, due to the presence of a system that may form into a tropical cyclone within the next 7 days over the Caribbean.
The system (marked with an orange shaded area) is a broad area of low pressure that is likely to develop over the southwestern Caribbean Sea in a couple of days.
NHC forecasters say that some gradual development of this system is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend while the system drifts generally northward over the west-central Caribbean Sea.
This system has a 50% chance of tropical cyclone formation within the next 7 days and a near 0% chance within the next 48 hours.
If this system develops into a tropical storm or hurricane, the next name on the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane List is Patty.
NOAA and Colorado State University forecast an “extremely active” 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season, which runs from June 1 through November 30.
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| NOAA historical hurricane data. Peak season and storm frequency. |
Although peak hurricane season was September 10, hurricane and tropical storm activity remains high through the end of October according to NOAA and the National Weather Service‘s historical hurricane activity data.