NHC: 50% Chance Tropical Cyclone Forms In Gulf of Mexico Next Week

 

MIAMI, Florida – NOAA’s National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, has issued a Tropical Weather Outlook at 2 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Friday, June 14, 2024, due to the presence of two systems that may form into tropical cyclones within the next 7 days.

The first system, dubbed Invest 90L, is an area of low pressure off the coast of the southeastern U.S. coast that has become a little better organized since yesterday (marked with a yellow “X”).

NHC forecasters say that, upper-level winds remain strong, and the system is forecast to merge with a front over the western Atlantic Saturday or Sunday.

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is expected to continue across portions of Florida through Saturday.

Invest 90L has a 10% chance of tropical cyclone formation within the next 7 days and a 10% chance within the next 48 hours.

The second system is a broad area of low pressure that is forecast to form over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend or early next week  (marked with an orange shaded area).

NHC forecasters say that environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form during the early or middle part of next week while it moves slowly westward or west-northwestward.

The second system has a 50% chance of tropical cyclone formation within the next 7 days and a 0% chance within the next 48 hours.

NOAA Prevailing Atlantic Hurricane Tracks June

If either of these systems develops into a tropical storm or hurricane, the next name on the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane List is Alberto.

NOAA and Colorado State University forecast an “extremely active” 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season, which runs from June 1 through November 30.