NOAA: Invest 92L Nears Florida, Projected Path Update, Spaghetti Models

  

JACKSONVILLE, Florida – NOAA’s National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, issued a Tropical Weather Outlook at 2 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Saturday, June 22, 2024, due to the presence of two systems that may form into tropical cyclones within the next 7 days.

The first system, dubbed Invest 92L (marked with a yellow "X" over Georgia), is a well-defined low-pressure area centered over inland southeastern Georgia.

NHC forecasters say that the low is expected to drift slowly north-northeastward near the coasts of Georgia and southern South Carolina through tonight before dissipating by Sunday.  Tropical cyclone formation is not expected.

This system has a near 0% chance of tropical cyclone formation within the next 7 days and a near 0% chance within the next 48 hours.

Invest 92L 2024 Computer Models  

Spaghetti models are in general agreement that Invest 92L will move west-northwestward towards the northeast coast of Florida and Georgia coast. Then hook to the northeast toward South Carolina after making landfall.

The second system (marked in orange near Mexico) is a broad area of low pressure over the Bay of Campeche.

NHC forecasters say that environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development and a tropical depression could form over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend while it moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward. 

The second system has a 40% chance of tropical cyclone formation within the next 7 days and a 40% chance within the next 48 hours.

NOAA Prevailing Atlantic Hurricane Tracks June

If either of these systems develops into a tropical storm or hurricane, the next name on the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane List is Beryl.

NOAA and Colorado State University forecast an 'extremely active' 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season, which runs from June 1 through November 30.