MIAMI, Florida – NOAA‘s National Hurricane Center issued a Public Advisory at 11 a.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Sunday, June 29, 2025, due to the presence of Tropical Storm Barry near Mexico.
Tropical Storm Barry is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches, with isolated maximum totals of 10 inches, across the Mexican states of Veracruz, San Luis Potosi, and Tamaulipas through Monday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
NOAA National Hurricane Center Tropical Storm Barry Projected Path
Tropical Storm Barry (formerly Tropical Depression Two) is located about 165 miles southeast of Tampico, Mexico and is moving to the northwest at 6 mph (9 km/h).
NHC forecasters say that this motion is expected to continue today.
On the official forecast track, the storm is expected to make landfall and then move inland over eastern Mexico later today or tonight.
Tropical Storm Barry Computer Models
Computer models, often referred to as spaghetti models, show Tropical Storm Barry moving northwest over the Gulf of Mexico toward eastern Mexico.
Both the GFS (American model) and ECMWF (European model) are in agreement with this track.
The latest NHC track forecast is just a bit more northwestward compared to the prior one, mostly accounting for changes in the initial position, but remain in good agreement with the track guidance consensus.
Tropical Storm Barry Strength
U.S. Air Force Reconnaissance data indicates that Tropical Storm Barry has maximum sustained winds of 40 mph (65 km/h), with higher gusts.
A little more intensification is forecast before the system reaches the coast of eastern Mexico. Rapid weakening is expected after the system moves inland.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center of the tropical cyclone.
NOAA forecasts an “above-normal” 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season, which runs from June 1 through November 30.
Although peak hurricane season isn’t until September 10, hurricane and tropical storm activity begins to pick up in late June, according to NOAA and the National Weather Service‘s historical hurricane activity data.