TALLAHASSEE, Florida – Tropical Depression Two (TD2) is located in the northeastern Gulf of Mexico. The system has shown only minimal strengthening overnight and remains somewhat disorganized. National Weather Service Tallahassee Radar Loop Outer rain bands associated with TD2 are already affecting the region. NHC forecasters expect gradual strengthening, with the depression likely becoming Tropical Storm Bertha later today as it drifts slowly north-northwestward. NWS Tallahassee – Tropical Depression Two Update (5:00 AM EDT, July 20, 2026) A Tropical Storm Watch and Warning are in effect for coastal and nearshore waters of the Florida Panhandle. Storm surge of 1–3 feet is anticipated for Apalachee Bay and the Florida Big Bend. NWS Tallahassee – Tropical Storm Watches and Warnings (as of July 20, 2026) The primary hazard remains heavy rainfall and the potential for localized flash flooding across the Florida Panhandle, Big Bend, southeast Alabama, and southwest Georgia through midweek. NWS Tallahassee – Flooding Rain Risk (Monday/Tuesday) Scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected this afternoon into tonight, especially across the Florida Panhandle, Big Bend, southeast Alabama, and southwest Georgia. Some storms may produce gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall. Isolated flash flooding and ponding of water on roadways are possible. Lightning remains a concern with all thunderstorms. Beneficial rainfall is expected to help ease ongoing dry conditions. NWS Tallahassee – High Surf Advisory (Tuesday through Thursday) A High Surf Advisory is in effect for Panhandle beaches Tuesday through Thursday. Surf heights are expected to build to 4–9 feet, bringing dangerous rip currents and localized beach erosion. Residents and visitors should stay out of the water during periods of high surf and follow local beach flag recommendations. Areas at risk for thunderstorms and possible locally heavy rainfall today include: Marianna Pensacola Panama City Destin Perry Tallahassee Broader Florida Panhandle, western Big Bend, SE Alabama, and SW Georgia TALLAHASSEE WEATHER FORECAST Today (Monday) Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92–93°F. Heat index values as high as 105°F. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation 60–80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and half an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Tonight A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 74–75°F. Calm wind. Tuesday Showers and thunderstorms likely. High near 90–91°F. Chance of precipitation 70–80%. Tuesday Night Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before midnight. Low around 75–76°F. Chance of precipitation 60–70%. Wednesday A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91°F. Chance of precipitation 50%. Wednesday Night A 20–30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 76–77°F. Thursday Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91°F. Chance of precipitation 60%.