TAMPA BAY, Florida – The National Weather Service Tampa Bay forecasts hot and humid conditions with scattered to numerous afternoon showers and thunderstorms across the Tampa Bay region and Southwest Florida today, Tuesday, July 28, 2026. National Weather Service Tampa Bay Radar Loop for West Central Florida and Southwest Florida A Heat Advisory is in effect from 11 AM to 7 PM EDT for parts of the Nature Coast (Levy, Citrus, and Sumter Counties), where heat index values could reach up to 109°. Hot temperatures in the mid-90s combined with high humidity will create dangerous conditions. Drink plenty of fluids, stay in air-conditioned spaces, limit time outdoors in the sun, wear light clothing, and check on relatives and neighbors. National Weather Service Tampa Bay graphic showing high temperatures and rain chances for West Central and Southwest Florida. Issued July 28, 2026 2:11 AM EDT. High temperatures today will range from the low to mid 90s across the region (Chiefland near 96°F; Brooksville near 94°F; Tampa and Lakeland near 93°F; Crystal River and Arcadia near 92°F; Sarasota near 91°F; Sebring and Fort Myers near 90°F). Rain chances are generally 20–70% across the area today, with the highest chances over southern and coastal Southwest Florida (Fort Myers near 70%; Sarasota, Arcadia, and Sebring near 60%; Tampa and Lakeland near 50%; Brooksville near 40%; Crystal River near 30%; Chiefland near 20%). Activity will be driven by daytime heating and the sea breeze, mainly in the afternoon and early evening. Tampa Weather Forecast Tuesday Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 93. Heat index values as high as 105. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Tuesday Night Isolated showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then isolated showers and thunderstorms after 4am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 81. West southwest wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Wednesday Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 5pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 93. Heat index values as high as 106. West southwest wind 8 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Wednesday Night Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 81. West southwest wind 8 to 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Thursday Scattered showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 8am. Partly sunny, with a high near 92. West southwest wind 9 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Thursday Night Scattered showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 79. West southwest wind 7 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Friday Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 2pm, then scattered showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 92. West southwest wind 8 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Friday Night Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 79. West southwest wind 7 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Saturday Scattered showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 8am. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Saturday Night Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 78. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Sunday Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Chance of precipitation is 50%.