Thunderstorms, Heavy Rain For Tampa Bay, Southwest Florida

Published by

FLORIDA WORD

July 1, 2026 7:57 am

National Weather Service Rain Chances for Florida Florida on Wednesday, July 1, 2026.

TAMPA BAY, Florida – The National Weather Service Tampa Bay forecasts scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms across the Tampa Bay region and Southwest Florida today, Wednesday, July 1, 2026.

A light easterly flow combined with daytime heating and the sea breeze will trigger scattered to numerous mainly afternoon and evening thunderstorms moving west across the region.

Storms are expected mainly this afternoon and evening. Stronger storms could produce gusty winds, small hail, and locally heavy rainfall. Activity will diminish overnight, leaving partly to mostly cloudy skies.

National Weather Service Tampa Rain Chances and Temperatures for West Central Florida Wednesday, July 1, 2026

The forecast covers areas such as Tampa, St. Petersburg, Sarasota, Lakeland, and northward toward the Nature Coast, with higher rain chances toward Southwest Florida (up to 80% near Fort Myers).

High temperatures today will range from the upper 80s along the coast to the low-to-mid 90s inland (e.g., Tampa area around 93–94°F). Heat index values may reach 100–107°F or higher in spots.

National Weather Service Tampa Radar Loop for West Central and Southwest Florida.

Tampa Weather Forecast

Today

Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Heat index values as high as 104. Northeast wind 5 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Tonight

Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. East northeast wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Thursday

Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 4pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Heat index values as high as 103. East northeast wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Thursday Night

Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 78. East wind 3 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Friday

Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Light and variable wind becoming southwest around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Friday Night

Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 79. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Independence Day

Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 8am. Partly sunny, with a high near 92. Calm wind becoming west southwest 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Saturday Night

Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 79. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Sunday

Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. South southeast wind 5 to 7 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Sunday Night

Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 79. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Monday

Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Monday Night

Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly cloudy, with a low around 79. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Tuesday

Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Sunny, with a high near 93. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

Published by

FLORIDA WORD

July 1, 2026 7:57 am