JACKSONVILLE, Florida – The National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center has placed portions of southeast Georgia and northeast Florida under a Marginal Risk (level 1/5) for severe thunderstorms today, Saturday, July 11, 2026. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will develop this afternoon across north central and northeast Florida, with activity then potentially expanding into southeast Georgia late this afternoon and early this evening. Strong to isolated severe storms will be possible late this afternoon and early this evening, mainly at inland locations, with stronger activity potentially producing damaging wind gusts of 40-60 mph, frequent lightning, and small hail. The National Weather Service in Jacksonville is alerting residents of the severe storm risk today. The primary threat is damaging wind gusts of 40-60 mph. According to NWS Jacksonville, stronger storms may develop with the Marginal (1/5) risk level, with isolated strong-to-severe thunderstorms possible across the shaded area on the outlook map. Stronger storms today may produce: Damaging winds (40-60 mph) – Primary threat Frequent lightning Small hail There is no threat for tornadoes and no severe hail is forecast. [caption id="" align="alignnone" width="600"] National Weather Service Jacksonville Weather Radar for Northeast Florida[/caption] North Florida and Southeast Georgia areas at highest risk for thunderstorms include: Alma, GA Waycross, GA Jesup, GA St. Simons Island, GA Live Oak, FL Lake City, FL Jacksonville, FL Jacksonville Beach, FL Gainesville, FL Palatka, FL Ocala Saint Augustine Palm Coast Jacksonville Weather Forecast This Afternoon A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 3pm. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 97. Heat index values as high as 105. Southwest wind around 11 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph. Tonight A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 78. Southwest wind 8 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph. Sunday Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 5pm. Increasing clouds and hot, with a high near 97. Heat index values as high as 106. West wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Sunday Night Showers and thunderstorms likely before 11pm, then a chance of showers between 11pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 77. Southwest wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Monday Showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 2pm and 5pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm. High near 95. West wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Monday Night Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am. Low around 76. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Tuesday A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 94. Tuesday Night A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. Wednesday A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 95. Wednesday Night A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 78. Thursday A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 96. Thursday Night A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 79. Friday A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 97.