MIAMI, Florida – The National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center has issued a marginal risk (Level 1/5) severe weather outlook for parts of South Florida due to the potential for severe thunderstorms expected this afternoon and evening on Monday, July 13, 2026. The National Weather Service in Miami forecasts scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms across South Florida this afternoon through early evening. A marginal risk of severe storms exists, primarily across interior and some eastern areas of South Florida. Main hazards include frequent lightning, gusty to damaging winds, and locally heavy downpours that may cause poor drainage flooding. The strongest storms could produce wind gusts of 50-60 mph. An isolated tornado or hail cannot be ruled out, though these threats are less likely. Today’s Rain Chances [caption id="attachment_11509" align="aligncenter" width="1920"] NWS Miami – Today’s South Florida Rain Chances and High Temperature, Monday, July 13, 2026[/caption] Rain chances today range from 11% to 40% across South Florida, with the highest probabilities (30–40%) in interior areas near Lake Okeechobee and lower chances (11–22%) along the gulf coast. [caption id="" align="alignnone" width="640"] NWS Miami – Maximum Heat Index, Monday Afternoon, July 13, 2026[/caption] High temperatures will reach the upper 80s to low 90s this afternoon, but heat indices will climb to 105–110°F in many areas, especially inland and western parts of South Florida (highest readings near Immokalee and Everglades City). This creates a dangerous heat risk through the afternoon and early evening. Stay hydrated and limit strenuous outdoor activities. Miami Weather Forecast Today Sunny and hot, with a high near 95. Heat index values as high as 106. Southeast wind 5 to 8 mph. Tonight Partly cloudy, with a low around 81. Southeast wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Tuesday Sunny and hot, with a high near 95. Heat index values as high as 105. Calm wind becoming southeast 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon. Tuesday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 81. Southeast wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Wednesday Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 95. Calm wind becoming east 5 to 9 mph in the afternoon. Wednesday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 81. Southeast wind 5 to 7 mph becoming calm in the evening. Thursday Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 96. Calm wind becoming southeast 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon. Thursday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 81. South wind 3 to 7 mph. Friday A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 96. Calm wind becoming southeast 5 to 9 mph in the afternoon. Friday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 81. Saturday A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 95. Saturday Night A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 81. Sunday A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny, with a high near 94.