TAMPA BAY, Florida – The National Weather Service Tampa Bay forecasts hot and humid conditions with scattered to numerous afternoon showers and thunderstorms across the Tampa Bay region and Southwest Florida today, Monday, July 27, 2026. National Weather Service Tampa Bay Radar Loop for West Central Florida and Southwest Florida A Heat Advisory is in effect from 11 AM to 8 PM EDT for parts of the Nature Coast (Levy, Citrus, and Sumter Counties), where heat index values could reach up to 109°. Hot temperatures in the mid-90s combined with high humidity will create dangerous conditions. Drink plenty of fluids, stay in air-conditioned spaces, limit time outdoors in the sun, wear light clothing, and check on relatives and neighbors. National Weather Service Tampa Bay graphic showing high temperatures and rain chances for West Central and Southwest Florida. Issued July 27, 2026 7:11 AM EDT. High temperatures today will range from the low to mid 90s across the region (Chiefland near 96°F; Brooksville near 94°F; Tampa near 93°F; Crystal River, Sarasota, and Arcadia near 92–93°F; Lakeland near 92°F; Sebring near 91°F; Fort Myers near 92°F). Rain chances are generally 30–70% across the area today, with the highest chances over central and inland areas (Tampa, Lakeland, Arcadia, and Sebring near 70%; Brooksville near 60%; Crystal River and Sarasota near 50%; Chiefland and Fort Myers near 30%). Activity will be driven by daytime heating and the sea breeze, mainly in the afternoon and early evening. Tampa Weather Forecast Today (Monday, July 27) Partly to mostly sunny with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms developing this afternoon. High near 91–96°F. Heat index values as high as 105–109°F in some areas, especially the Nature Coast. West winds 5–15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30–70%. New rainfall amounts generally a tenth to a quarter inch possible in any storms. Tonight Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms early, then mostly cloudy. Low around 77–81°F. West to northwest wind 5–10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20–40%. Tuesday, July 28 Mostly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms. High near 90–94°F. Heat index values up to 105–108°. West to northwest wind 5–10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40–60%. Tuesday Night Partly to mostly cloudy with isolated showers and thunderstorms. Low around 78–82°F. Southwest wind 5–10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20–40%.