National Weather Service Rain Chances for Florida Florida on Saturday, June 27, 2026.
TAMPA BAY, Florida – The National Weather Service Tampa Bay is forecasting scattered showers and thunderstorms for the Nature Coast and West Central Florida today, Saturday, June 27, 2026, as hot and humid conditions continue.
Hot and humid conditions will continue today with daytime highs in the low to mid 90s and heat index values reaching 100–107°F. No Heat Advisory is currently in effect, but the combination of temperatures and humidity will make it feel much hotter outdoors.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected to develop this afternoon and continue into the evening hours. Rain chances today range from 10–30% across the northern Nature Coast (Chiefland, Crystal River, Brooksville) to 40–70% across West Central and Southwest Florida, with the highest chances (60–70%) near Lakeland, Sebring, Arcadia, and Fort Myers. The primary hazards include lightning, gusty winds, and locally heavy rainfall. Isolated stronger storms could produce damaging wind gusts capable of downing tree limbs and causing brief power outages.
The risk area includes the Nature Coast (Chiefland, Crystal River, Brooksville) through West Central Florida, including Tampa, Lakeland, Sarasota, Sebring, Arcadia, and Fort Myers. Thunderstorms will be driven by daytime heating and sea breeze interactions. Activity is expected to diminish after sunset.
| Period | Forecast |
|---|---|
| Today | Scattered showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 96. Heat index values as high as 105. Calm wind becoming west northwest around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 40%. |
| Tonight | Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 78. North northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
| Sunday | Scattered showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Sunny and hot, with a high near 96. Heat index values as high as 105. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
| Sunday Night | Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 7pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 79. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
| Monday | Scattered showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Sunny and hot, with a high near 96. Calm wind becoming west around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 50%. |
| Monday Night | Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 80. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
| Tuesday | Isolated showers and thunderstorms between 8am and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 95. Calm wind becoming west around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%. |
| Tuesday Night | Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then scattered showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 78. North wind around 6 mph becoming light and variable after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
| Wednesday | Isolated showers and thunderstorms between 8am and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Light and variable wind becoming south southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%. |
| Wednesday Night | Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then scattered showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 78. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
| Thursday | Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Sunny, with a high near 93. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
| Thursday Night | Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly cloudy, with a low around 79. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
| Friday | Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Sunny, with a high near 94. Chance of precipitation is 50%. |
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