
National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center Severe Weather Outlook for Florida on Monday, May 11, 2026.
TALLAHASSEE, Florida – A few strong thunderstorms are expected to impact north Florida, southeast Alabama’s Wiregrass region, and southwest Georgia this afternoon and early evening, according to the National Weather Service in Tallahassee.
The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 5) of severe thunderstorms mainly east of I-75 in south Georgia this afternoon. A general thunderstorm risk exists across the broader tri-state area, with the highest coverage along and south of the I-10 corridor.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible this morning through early evening across the entire Tri-State region. Stronger storms are possible this afternoon and early evening.
Primary hazards with any stronger storms today include gusty winds of 35-50 mph, dangerous lightning, small hail, and torrential downpours. Isolated flash flooding is also possible where storms train over the same areas. Lightning remains a concern with all thunderstorms. Patchy fog is possible early this morning in portions of southeast Alabama, southwest Georgia, and the Florida Panhandle.
On a positive note, beneficial rainfall is expected region-wide and will continue through the week. This will help alleviate ongoing dry conditions across the area.
Cities at risk for thunderstorms today include:
High temperatures across the Florida Panhandle and north Florida will be in the upper 80s °F. Overnight lows will drop into the upper 60s.
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