Severe Thunderstorm, Large Hail, Tornado Risk For Central Florida
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FLORIDA WORD
May 12, 2026 6:57 am
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National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center Severe Weather Outlook for Florida on Tuesday, May 12, 2026.
ORLANDO, Florida – Hot and humid conditions continue across east Central Florida this Tuesday, May 12.
The National Weather Service in Melbourne forecasts scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms developing this afternoon and evening. A couple of storms could become strong to severe.
The National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center issued a Marginal (Level 1) Severe Storm Risk (out of 5) for much of east Central Florida today, including the Orlando metro area, Space Coast, and Treasure Coast.
National Weather Service Melbourne severe weather outlook graphic showing Marginal (Level 1) Risk of severe storms for Tuesday, May 12, 2026 (valid roughly 2PM-11PM).
The NWS warns of the following hazards during the peak storm hours this afternoon and evening on Tuesday:
Locally heavy rainfall (1-3″, higher amounts possible near the coast)
What Damage Can Large Hail Do?
Hailstones the size of quarters or larger can:
Dent vehicles and damage roofs.
Shatter windows.
Pose deadly risks to animals and people.
Hail can fall at speeds exceeding 100 mph, amplifying its destructive potential. Learn more about hail dangers here.
A Moderate Rip Current Risk remains in effect for all Atlantic beaches from Daytona through the Treasure Coast (1-2 ft surf). Swim near lifeguards and never swim against a rip current.
East Central Florida cities forecast to see warm temperatures today include:
Orlando (high near 86-91°F, storms likely afternoon/evening)
Daytona Beach (high near 86-89°F)
Melbourne (high near 86-90°F)
Vero Beach (high near 85-88°F)
Note: KMLB radar is now back in service following recent maintenance.
Orlando Weather Forecast
Today
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 86. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 11pm, then a slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 71. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Wednesday
A chance of showers before 11am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Wednesday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 89. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.