With a frontal boundary approaching the area, the National Weather Service in Miami is forecasting high rain chances with showers and thunderstorms developing mainly this afternoon into evening. Cloudy and muggy conditions will persist before the activity ramps up.
National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center Severe Weather Outlook for Florida on Tuesday, May 12, 2026.
A few storms may be strong to severe. The strongest storms could produce heavy rainfall, gusty winds, frequent lightning, and small hail. Heavy rain may also result in localized flooding across the east coast metro. There is a Marginal Risk of severe thunderstorms (Level 1 of 5 from the Storm Prediction Center).
The highest rain chances are: 74% West Palm Beach, 69% Clewiston, 65% Palmdale, 54%Fort Lauderdale, 43% Immokalee, 39% Miami, 38% Homestead, 28% Everglades City, 18% Naples, and 17% Flamingo.
NWS Miami South Florida Doppler Radar
Miami / South Florida Weather Forecast
Today
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 3pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. South wind 5 to 10 mph.
Tonight
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 80. South wind around 7 mph becoming northeast after midnight. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. South wind 5 to 8 mph.
Wednesday Night
A chance of thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 78. West wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday
A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. West wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 78. South wind around 8 mph becoming west after midnight.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 85. Light and variable wind becoming southeast 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 78. Southeast wind 3 to 8 mph.
Saturday
A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Sunny, with a high near 86. Light east wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 79.
Sunday
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny, with a high near 85.
