Severe Thunderstorm, Hail, Tornado Risk For South Florida
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FLORIDA WORD
March 16, 2026 10:03 am
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National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center Severe Weather Outlook for Florida March 16, 2026
MIAMI, Florida – The National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center has issued a marginal risk (Level 1/5) severe weather outlook for South Florida due to the potential for severe thunderstorms expected to impact the region on Monday, March 16, 2026.
The National Weather Service in Miami forecasts scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms in South Florida this afternoon through early evening, with a marginal risk of severe storms primarily across Miami-Dade and Broward counties, including Miami, Fort Lauderdale, and Boca Raton.
An isolated tornado cannot be ruled out, and lightning poses a significant risk, especially for outdoor events.
NWS Miami Rain Chances, March 16, 2026
These storms may produce wind gusts up to 60 mph and hail up to quarter size (1 inch).
NWS Miami South Florida Doppler Radar
High temperatures will range from the upper 70s to lower 80s along the Atlantic coast to the lower 80s inland this afternoon. Heat indices are expected to reach the upper 80s to low 90s due to humidity.
Miami Weather Forecast
Monday
Mostly sunny, with a chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 5pm. High near 83. Breezy, with a south wind 14 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 3am. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Low around 66. Southwest wind around 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.
Tuesday
Cloudy, with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. High near 71. North wind 11 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Tuesday Night
Cloudy, with a chance of showers. A chance of thunderstorms after 11pm. Low around 64. Breezy, with a north wind around 16 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Wednesday
Cloudy, with a chance of showers before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 73. Northeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Wednesday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 11pm, then a chance of showers after 11pm. Cloudy, with a low around 68. Breezy, with a northeast wind 14 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
