National Weather Service Tampa Bay rain chances and high temperatures.
TAMPA BAY, Florida – The National Weather Service (NWS) Tampa Bay has issued a forecast for west Central Florida and Southwest Florida on Tuesday, August 26, 2025, forecasting widespread showers and thunderstorms mainly in the morning and afternoon with highs ranging from the upper 80s to lower 90s across the region. Increased moisture will result in higher storm chances, and due to light winds aloft, storm motion will be slow, potentially leading to some localized flooding. Rain chances vary from 60% in southern areas like Fort Myers to 80% in northern areas like Tampa and Lakeland.
The forecast covers areas such as Tampa, St. Petersburg, Sarasota, and Fort Myers.
Today
Widespread showers and thunderstorms, mainly in the morning and afternoon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 90. Heat index values as high as 106. Calm wind becoming southwest around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Slow-moving storms may lead to localized flooding.
Tonight
Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly along the coast. Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Wednesday
Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Sunny, with a high near 91. Heat index values as high as 105. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Wednesday Night
Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 78. Light west wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday
Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Sunny, with a high near 91. Heat index values as high as 105. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Thursday Night
Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 78. Light west wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
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