National Weather Service Central Florida rain chances and high temperatures.
ORLANDO, Florida – The National Weather Service Melbourne has issued a forecast for Central Florida on Monday, August 25, 2025, of scattered to numerous showers and storms from late morning through the afternoon, with a 60-80% chance of precipitation. Winds from the southwest at 5 to 10 mph are expected, with gusts up to 40-45 mph possible in storms.
Thunderstorms are capable of occasional lightning, gusty winds, and heavy rainfall which could lead to minor flooding.
Rain chances will remain high through Tuesday, around 60-80%, decreasing slightly by Wednesday to 50-60%, while temperatures will remain near or slightly below normal. A high risk of rip currents at the beaches is in effect through tonight, with lingering swells causing rough surf of around 3 feet and hazardous boating conditions today. Small craft should exercise caution, with seas 3 to 5 feet, up to 6 feet offshore.
Near normal temperatures with highs in the mid 80s to low 90s continue, resulting in peak afternoon heat indices up to around 95-102 degrees today.
There is currently one active tropical cyclone in the Atlantic basin: Tropical Storm Fernand in the central subtropical Atlantic, moving north-northeast with no threat to Florida. The National Hurricane Center is monitoring a tropical disturbance (AL99) about 200 miles east of the Windward Islands with a 40% chance of development over the next 2 and 7 days, expected to move westward and bring heavy rainfall and gusty winds to portions of the Windward and Leeward Islands, but conditions become less favorable later with no imminent threats to East Central Florida. Coastal impacts from lingering swells, including high rip current risk, rough surf up to 3 feet, minor beach erosion, and hazardous boating conditions will continue today.
Today
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 1pm. Partly sunny. High near 87°F. Winds west southwest at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. High risk of rip currents at the beaches.
Tonight
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm. Mostly cloudy. Low around 75°F. Winds southwest around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tuesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 90°F. Heat index values as high as 102°F. Winds west southwest around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am. Low around 74°F. Winds west around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
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