NOAA: 30% Chance Tropical Cyclone Forms Near North Carolina

MIAMI, Florida – NOAA’s National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, issued a Tropical Weather Outlook at 2 PM Eastern Daylight Time on Saturday, August 2, 2025, due to the presence of a system that may develop into a tropical cyclone near North Carolina.

The system (marked with a yellow shaded area) is an area of low pressure that is expected to form tonight or on Sunday along a frontal system off of the southeastern coast of the United States.

NHC forecasters say that additional slow development could occur through Monday as the system moves slowly east-northeastward. After that time, environmental conditions become less conducive for development.

This system has a 30% chance of tropical cyclone formation within the next 7 days and a 30% chance within the next 48 hours.

If this system develops into a tropical storm or hurricane, the next name on the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane List is Dexter.

NOAA forecasts an “above-normal” 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season, which runs from June 1 through November 30.

Although peak hurricane season isn’t until September 10, hurricane and tropical storm activity begins to pick up in August according to NOAA and the National Weather Service’s historical hurricane activity data.