National Weather Service Tampa Bay rain chances and high temperatures.
TAMPA BAY, Florida – The National Weather Service (NWS) Tampa Bay has issued a forecast for west Central Florida and Southwest Florida on Monday, August 25, 2025, forecasting numerous to widespread showers and thunderstorms mainly in the morning and afternoon with highs ranging from the upper 80s to around 90 across the region. Increased moisture will result in higher storm chances, and due to light winds aloft, storm motion will be slow, potentially leading to some localized flooding. Rain chances vary from 50% in Fort Myers to 80% in areas like Tampa and Brooksville.
The forecast covers areas such as Tampa, St. Petersburg, Sarasota, and Fort Myers.
Today
Numerous to widespread showers and thunderstorms, mainly in the morning and afternoon. High near 89. Heat index values as high as 105. Calm wind becoming west southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Slow-moving storms may lead to localized flooding.
Tonight
Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly along the coast. Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. West southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Tuesday
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. Heat index values as high as 106. Calm wind becoming southwest around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Tuesday Night
Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Wednesday
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms. Sunny, with a high near 91. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Wednesday Night
Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 78. Light west wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
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