NOAA: 20% Chance Tropical Cyclone Forms Over Florida

MIAMI, Florida – NOAA‘s National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, issued a Tropical Weather Outlook at 8:00 AM Eastern Daylight Time on Sunday, June 29, 2025, due to the presence of a system located over Florida.

The system is an an area of low pressure that could develop towards the end of this week into next weekend from a remnant frontal boundary near or along the southeastern U.S. Atlantic and Gulf coasts.

NHC forecasters say that some gradual tropical or subtropical development could occur thereafter as it drifts slowly just off the U.S. coastline.

This system has a 20% chance of tropical cyclone formation within the next 7 days and a 0% chance within the next 48 hours.

If this system develops into a tropical storm or hurricane, the next name on the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane List is Chantal.

NOAA forecasts an “above-normal” 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season, which runs from June 1 through November 30.

Although peak hurricane season isn’t until September 10, hurricane and tropical storm activity begins to pick up in late June, according to NOAA and the National Weather Service‘s historical hurricane activity data.