National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center Severe Weather Forecast for Florida Sunday, May 11, 2025.
TAMPA BAY, FL – The National Weather Service (NWS) Tampa Bay has issued a severe weather outlook for Sunday, May 11, 2025, warning of a Level 1 out of 5 risk for severe storms across west central and most of southwest Florida.
The National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center has issued a Severe Weather Outlook for Tampa Bay and Southwest Florida on May 11, 2025.
The potential hazards including gusty or damaging winds, large hail, isolated tornadoes, and lightning during the afternoon and evening hours.
According to the NWS, there is a 5% chance of gusty winds and large hail, with a 2% chance of a tornado.
The forecast covers areas such as Tampa, St. Petersburg, Sarasota, and Fort Myers, with the risk extending into the early morning of May 12, 2025, until 7:00 AM CDT.
This forecast comes amid an ongoing atmospheric river event that has already brought heavy rainfall to the region since May 10, with 1-4 inches expected through May 12, and some areas potentially seeing over 5 inches.
Storms that produce hailstones the size of quarters or larger can result in dents on cars, damage to roofs, break windows, and can be deadly to animals and people.
Large hailstones can fall at speeds faster than 100 mph.
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