NOAA: Hurricane Rafael Projected Path, Spaghetti Models
NOAA National Hurricane Center Hurricane Rafael Projected Path
Hurricane Rafael Computer Models
Hurricane Rafael Strength
Rafael is a Category 2 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale with maximum of 110 mph (175 km/h), with higher gusts.
Rafael remains a powerful compact hurricane.
Although the waters are still relatively warm over the Gulf of Mexico, a combination of increasing westerly vertical wind shear and intrusions of dry air should promote steady to rapid weakening during the next few days.
Rafael is forecast to fall below hurricane strength on Saturday and degenerate to a remnant low in 3 to 4 days.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center of the tropical cyclone and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km).
NOAA and Colorado State University forecast an “extremely active” 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season, which runs from June 1 through November 30.
NOAA historical hurricane data. Peak season and storm frequency. |
Peak hurricane season was September 10, according to NOAA and the National Weather Service’s historical hurricane activity data.