Invest 96L Projected Path Update, Spaghetti Models
MIAMI, Florida – NOAA’s National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, issued a Tropical Weather Outlook at 8 a.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Wednesday, July 3, 2024, due to the presence of a system that may form into a tropical cyclone within the next 7 days.
The system, dubbed Invest 96L, is a tropical wave located a couple of hundred miles east of the Windward Islands that is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity(marked with a yellow "X" east-southeast of Hurricane Beryl).
NHC forecasters say that development, if any, of this system should be slow to occur while it moves quickly westward to west-northwestward at 20 to 25 mph across the Caribbean Sea.
Regardless of development, gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall are possible across portions of the Lesser Antilles today.
This system has a 20% chance of tropical cyclone formation within the next 7 days and a 10% chance within the next 48 hours.
Invest 96L 2024 Computer Models
Spaghetti models are in general agreement that Invest 96L will move west-northwest towards the Windward Islands and eastern Caribbean.
If this system develops into a tropical storm or hurricane, the next name on the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane List is Debby.
NOAA and Colorado State University forecast an 'extremely active' 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season, which runs from June 1 through November 30.
